The Assessment of Space Needs Project investigated the factors that contribute to the demand for juvenile detention and corrections bed space and developed an internet-based forecasting tool that state and local agencies can use to create their own forecasts of future demand.
In response to a direct request from the United States Congress, the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (part of the U.S. Department of Justice) initiated a project in 1998 to assess the future needs of state and local governments for juvenile detention and corrections bed space, or secure confinement space.
The Urban Institute focused on the supply and demand for detention and corrections bed space nationally and at the state level. The study included investigations of several of the jurisdictions specifically named by Congress, including California, Kentucky, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. Researchers also studied forecasting approaches used by state agencies in Oregon and Texas.
In addition to studying demand patterns and forecasting efforts in these states, the project created a new analytical tool for making projections of juvenile corrections and detention populations. The online tool, “Juvenile Forecaster,” allowed juvenile justice agencies to build their own forecasts and to share the results with others, either online or in face-to-face meetings.
Work on the Assessment of Space Needs Project was completed in 2002.
Project Advisory Committee
- Dr. Arnold Irvin Barnett, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- Dr. Donna M. Bishop, Northeastern University
- Mr. Edward J. Loughran, Council of Juvenile Correctional Administrators
- Dr. James P. Lynch, The American University
- Dr. Samuel L. Myers, Jr., University of Minnesota
- Ms. Patricia Puritz, American Bar Association
- Mr. Paul DeMuro, Montclair, New Jersey
- Dr. William J. Sabol, Case Western Reserve University
- Dr. Howard N. Snyder, National Center for Juvenile Justice
- Mr. David J. Steinhart, Mill Valley, California
Jeffrey Butts, PI
$700,000. U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, Program Manager, Joseph Moone.
Butts, Jeffrey A. and Daniel P. Mears (2002). Practical Forecasting for Juvenile Justice Agencies. Washington, DC: Urban Institute
Butts, Jeffrey A. & William Adams (2001). Anticipating Space Needs in Juvenile Detention and Correctional Facilities. (OJJDP Juvenile Justice Bulletin). Washington, DC: Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, US Department of Justice.
Mears, Daniel (2002). The Role of Statistical Models in Planning Juvenile Corrections Capacity. Washington, DC: Urban Institute, Program on Youth Justice.
Steinhart, David and Jeffrey A. Butts (2002). Youth Corrections in California. Washington, DC: Urban Institute, Program on Youth Justice.
Mears, Daniel (2002). Forecasting Juvenile Correctional Populations in Texas. Washington, DC: Urban Institute, Program on Youth Justice.